maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 06:42 PM
BIG MF - 06 January 2008 06:12 PM
maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 05:45 PM
Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?
Traditional Democrats is a Republican code word for minorities. You ASSUME that all Blacks will vote for yamama because he is part black
In Louisiana 90 percent of blacks vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, regardless of whom the candidate is. What I think Obama will do is increase voter turnout amongst black voters. This can be big in Orleans and Jefferson where Landrieu needs a huge black turnout to win.
It’s certainly possible that he could since polls are consistently showing he has genuine appeal to independent, non-partisan voters more so than anyone else from either party, save for McCain, who trails Obama in a distant second in this regard. This could help Landrieu.
But at the same time, race-baiters and fear-mongerers would form a coalition and will have a field day with a half-black, pseudo Yankee lawyer, whose middle name is Hussein at the top of the ticket. This would likely hurt Landrieu.
Then there is the possibility that it would have very little to no effect because the race will be fought for and won on local issues and how well Landrieu or either Kennedy or Dardenne appeal to a majority of voters on their own merit.