How Much Does Obama Help Mary Landrieu?
Posted: 06 January 2008 05:45 PM   [ Ignore ]
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Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?

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Posted: 06 January 2008 06:12 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]
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maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 05:45 PM

Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?

Traditional Democrats is a Republican code word for minorities. You ASSUME that all Blacks will vote for yamama because he is part black
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Posted: 06 January 2008 06:42 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 2 ]
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BIG MF - 06 January 2008 06:12 PM

maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 05:45 PM
Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?

Traditional Democrats is a Republican code word for minorities. You ASSUME that all Blacks will vote for yamama because he is part black

In Louisiana 90 percent of blacks vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, regardless of whom the candidate is. What I think Obama will do is increase voter turnout amongst black voters. This can be big in Orleans and Jefferson where Landrieu needs a huge black turnout to win.

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Posted: 06 January 2008 06:57 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 3 ]
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maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 06:42 PM

BIG MF - 06 January 2008 06:12 PM
maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 05:45 PM
Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?

Traditional Democrats is a Republican code word for minorities. You ASSUME that all Blacks will vote for yamama because he is part black

In Louisiana 90 percent of blacks vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, regardless of whom the candidate is. What I think Obama will do is increase voter turnout amongst black voters. This can be big in Orleans and Jefferson where Landrieu needs a huge black turnout to win.

It’s certainly possible that he could since polls are consistently showing he has genuine appeal to independent, non-partisan voters more so than anyone else from either party, save for McCain, who trails Obama in a distant second in this regard.  This could help Landrieu.

But at the same time, race-baiters and fear-mongerers would form a coalition and will have a field day with a half-black, pseudo Yankee lawyer, whose middle name is Hussein at the top of the ticket.  This would likely hurt Landrieu.

Then there is the possibility that it would have very little to no effect because the race will be fought for and won on local issues and how well Landrieu or either Kennedy or Dardenne appeal to a majority of voters on their own merit.

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Posted: 06 January 2008 07:07 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 4 ]
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Leon Trotsky - 06 January 2008 06:57 PM

But at the same time, race-baiters and fear-mongerers would form a coalition and will have a field day with a half-black, pseudo Yankee lawyer, whose middle name is Hussein at the top of the ticket.  This would likely hurt Landrieu.

well that is what Hillary tried to do

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2007/12/13/clinton_apologizes_to_obama_fo_1.html

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Posted: 06 January 2008 08:19 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 5 ]
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Leon Trotsky - 06 January 2008 06:57 PM

maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 06:42 PM
BIG MF - 06 January 2008 06:12 PM
maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 05:45 PM
Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?

Traditional Democrats is a Republican code word for minorities. You ASSUME that all Blacks will vote for yamama because he is part black

In Louisiana 90 percent of blacks vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, regardless of whom the candidate is. What I think Obama will do is increase voter turnout amongst black voters. This can be big in Orleans and Jefferson where Landrieu needs a huge black turnout to win.

It’s certainly possible that he could since polls are consistently showing he has genuine appeal to independent, non-partisan voters more so than anyone else from either party, save for McCain, who trails Obama in a distant second in this regard.  This could help Landrieu.

But at the same time, race-baiters and fear-mongerers would form a coalition and will have a field day with a half-black, pseudo Yankee lawyer, whose middle name is Hussein at the top of the ticket.  This would likely hurt Landrieu.

Then there is the possibility that it would have very little to no effect because the race will be fought for and won on local issues and how well Landrieu or either Kennedy or Dardenne appeal to a majority of voters on their own merit.

I’m talking turnout. I don’t think you’re going to see the percentage of blacks that vote for the Republican nominee change all that much regardless of who that nominee is. But if Obama can get 50,000 blacks to the polls that wouldn’t normally vote, then that would be significant. And if this was to happen, then yes, it would help Landrieu.

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Posted: 07 January 2008 05:53 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 6 ]
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maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 08:19 PM

Leon Trotsky - 06 January 2008 06:57 PM
maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 06:42 PM
BIG MF - 06 January 2008 06:12 PM
maurepas1 - 06 January 2008 05:45 PM
Should Obama grab the nomination, and I think we’ll have a good feel for that by Tuesday night, does his being at the top of the ticket help Mary Landrieu, more than say having Hillary at the top? Will Obama bring out a larger number of traditional Democrats in Louisiana than Hillary or Edwards? Better question is could Obama be so strong that Louisiana gives its nine electoral votes to the Democrats?

Traditional Democrats is a Republican code word for minorities. You ASSUME that all Blacks will vote for yamama because he is part black

In Louisiana 90 percent of blacks vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, regardless of whom the candidate is. What I think Obama will do is increase voter turnout amongst black voters. This can be big in Orleans and Jefferson where Landrieu needs a huge black turnout to win.

It’s certainly possible that he could since polls are consistently showing he has genuine appeal to independent, non-partisan voters more so than anyone else from either party, save for McCain, who trails Obama in a distant second in this regard.  This could help Landrieu.

But at the same time, race-baiters and fear-mongerers would form a coalition and will have a field day with a half-black, pseudo Yankee lawyer, whose middle name is Hussein at the top of the ticket.  This would likely hurt Landrieu.

Then there is the possibility that it would have very little to no effect because the race will be fought for and won on local issues and how well Landrieu or either Kennedy or Dardenne appeal to a majority of voters on their own merit.

I’m talking turnout. I don’t think you’re going to see the percentage of blacks that vote for the Republican nominee change all that much regardless of who that nominee is. But if Obama can get 50,000 blacks to the polls that wouldn’t normally vote, then that would be significant. And if this was to happen, then yes, it would help Landrieu.

Don’t normally vote or haven’t voted in significant numbers since Katrina? Many of the pre K Black voters have moved to St Tammany, Jefferson and East Baton Rouge. Last time I looked they were still in LA. Granted some went to Houston and Atlanta but are back. Neither of the candidates you mention can beat Mary.

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